Air Lease Valuation

AL Stock  USD 64.58  0.03  0.05%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Air Lease shows a prevailing Real Value of $59.51 per share. The current price of the firm is $64.58. Our model approximates the value of Air Lease from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 26.96 B, profit margin of 0.35 %, and Return On Equity of 0.13 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Air Lease's valuation include:
Price Book
0.8649
Enterprise Value
27 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
10.5875
Price Sales
2.4807
Forward PE
12.3457
Overvalued
Today
64.58
Please note that Air Lease's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Air Lease is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Air Lease's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Air stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Air Lease. Since Air Lease is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Air Stock. However, Air Lease's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  64.58 Real  59.51 Target  65.0 Hype  64.55
The intrinsic value of Air Lease's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Air Lease's stock price.
59.51
Real Value
71.01
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Air Lease helps investors to forecast how Air stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Air Lease more accurately as focusing exclusively on Air Lease's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.001.091.20
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.4364.5564.67
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
59.1565.0072.15
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Air Lease's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Air Lease's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Air Lease's closest peers.

Air Lease Cash

532.07 Million

Air Lease Total Value Analysis

Air Lease is presently expected to have takeover value of 26.96 B with market capitalization of 7.21 B, debt of 20.21 B, and cash on hands of 472.55 M. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the Air Lease fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
26.96 B
7.21 B
20.21 B
472.55 M

Air Lease Investor Information

About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.86. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Air Lease has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.62. The firm last dividend was issued on the 4th of December 2025. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Air Lease's historical financial statements, Air Lease is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.370.25
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.1 B1.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income591.6 M676.3 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

Air Lease Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Air Lease has an asset utilization ratio of 8.47 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.0847 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Air Lease is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Air Lease Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Air Lease's financial statements, Air Lease is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Air Lease's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2010-03-31
Previous Quarter
385.2 M
Current Value
146.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
112.4 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Air Lease's Pretax Profit Margin is quite stable compared to the past year. Operating Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.37 this year, although the value of Gross Profit will most likely fall to about 685.2 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.480.34
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.370.25
Way Up
Slightly volatile
For Air Lease profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Air Lease to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Air Lease utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Air Lease's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Air Lease over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Air Lease Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Air Lease is estimated to be 1.0933 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.0 to a high of 1.2. Air Lease's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 8.62. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Air Lease is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Air Lease is projected to generate 1.0933 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Air Lease earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Air Lease EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Air Lease's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Air Lease, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Air Lease Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Air Lease's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Air Lease is estimated to be 1.0933 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.0 to a high of 1.2. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Air Lease is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
1.00
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.0933
1.20
Highest

Air Lease Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Air Lease's value are higher than the current market price of the Air Lease stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Air Lease is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Air Lease's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
381.91%
0.0
1.0933
8.62

Air Lease Ownership Allocation

Air Lease holds a total of 111.77 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Air Lease outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Air Lease to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Air Lease. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Air Lease as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On November 14, 2025, Representative Ro Khanna of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Air Lease's common stock.

Air Lease Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 2.73 B. Reported Net Income was 427.7 M with gross profit of 1.7 B.

Air Lease Past Distributions to stockholders

About Air Lease Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air Lease. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Air Lease based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Air Lease's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Air Lease's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Air Lease. We calculate exposure to Air Lease's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Air Lease's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit929.1 M685.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.22  0.33 
Operating Profit Margin 0.25  0.37 
Net Profit Margin 0.18  0.25 
Gross Profit Margin 0.34  0.48 
Air Lease's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Air Lease's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Air Lease can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Air Lease represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Air, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Air Lease Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Air Lease's Dividends Paid is quite stable compared to the past year. Dividend Yield is expected to rise to 0.02 this year, although the value of Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio will most likely fall to 0.25. . At this time, Air Lease's Retained Earnings are quite stable compared to the past year. Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to rise to about 4.1 B this year, although the value of Earnings Yield will most likely fall to 0.07.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid162.4 M170.6 M
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.38  0.40 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.32  0.25 
There are various types of dividends Air Lease can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Air shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Air Lease directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Air pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Air Lease by the value of the dividends paid out.

Air Lease Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Air Lease does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.476
Forward Price Earnings12.3457

Air Lease Current Valuation Indicators

Air Lease's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Air Lease's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Air Lease, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Air Lease's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Air Lease's worth.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Air Lease. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Lease. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Air Lease assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.476
Dividend Share
0.88
Earnings Share
8.62
Revenue Per Share
26.056
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.051
The market value of Air Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Air Lease's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Air Lease represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Air Lease's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.